Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 58.911807 67.022835 75.368388 84.563584 94.378229 104.510219 115.730216
2025-07-13 48.607015 60.431343 73.182512 87.818081 104.022599 121.297348 140.990168
2025-07-20 42.023420 55.910348 71.415347 89.728876 110.508323 133.121435 159.366701
2025-07-27 35.742330 50.823965 68.231189 89.336837 113.806694 140.909075 172.838480
2025-08-03 30.513789 46.326860 65.168883 88.571289 116.230438 147.336740 184.450982
2025-08-10 26.831298 43.300294 63.500070 89.123256 119.905631 154.966284 197.233462
2025-08-17 23.170625 39.911301 61.072562 88.489603 121.956954 160.541565 207.512491
2025-08-24 20.401054 37.410213 59.526177 88.733526 124.891176 167.017445 218.727258
2025-08-31 17.517484 34.454056 57.164022 87.766143 126.201968 171.459651 227.474413
2025-09-07 15.796976 32.977957 56.611183 88.976206 130.089671 178.897956 239.689328
2025-09-14 14.374344 31.795799 56.347322 90.474641 134.273702 186.651403 252.253147
2025-09-21 12.387788 29.536336 54.454136 89.728216 135.559684 190.843709 260.539177
2025-09-28 10.182804 26.689908 51.588709 87.599667 135.054148 192.857437 266.261988
2025-10-05 9.712507 26.702293 52.803168 90.939534 141.527256 203.424945 282.291143
2025-10-12 8.927144 26.073962 53.021986 92.886190 146.184898 211.748810 295.614993
2025-10-19 7.655200 24.406708 51.589653 92.486697 147.749020 216.212222 304.241482
2025-10-26 6.445922 22.677739 49.947014 91.705498 148.748310 219.926314 311.922617
2025-11-02 5.644856 21.636983 49.297941 92.268711 151.478349 225.779235 322.202478
2025-11-09 4.709357 20.154624 47.850911 91.622158 152.552172 229.516316 329.864665
2025-11-16 4.033830 19.121869 47.060274 91.871051 154.786668 234.696379 339.290414
2025-11-23 3.252867 17.668258 45.473037 90.883925 155.304973 237.662869 345.956615
2025-11-30 2.869502 17.134193 45.405428 92.118669 158.822217 244.447665 357.359585
2025-12-07 2.560411 16.737025 45.545703 93.647472 162.733809 251.738282 369.400092